Financial index | Current price | Forecast | S1 | R1 | S2 | R2 |
FTSE100 | 7,276 | Cons./ Bullish | 6,960 | 7,300 | 6,830 | 7,470 |
FTSEMIB | 21,212 | Cons./ Bullish | 21,000 | 23,650 | 20,260 | 25,00 |
DAX 40 | 13,253 | Cons./ Bullish | 12,600 | 14,050 | 12,000 | 14,460 |
S&P 500 | 3,962 | Cons./ Bullish | 3,740 | 4,000 | 3,600 | 4,370 |
NASDAQ 100 | 12,396 | Cons./ Bullish | 10,700 | 12,400 | 9,700 | 13,500 |
DOW JONES | 31,899 | Cons./ Bullish | 29,200 | 32,000 | 27,560 | 34,000 |
S: Support R: Resistance
FTSE 100 (#UKX)
The FTSE 100 ended the week up by +1.64%
For the coming week we could see a bullish continuation at least up to the 7.400 area
Indicators
Positive week for the British index which is now close to the strong resistance level and the 50MA (yellow line): given the bullish push we believe that the UKX can consolidate within the narrow range between 7,200-7,300 to then break to the upside .
MACD and RSI seem to support the bullish push as the former is close to cross the 0 line (positive momentum) and the RSI is now above the 50 line (bullish).
Another positive note is having closed the week above the 9-day average (red line).
We remain positive on the FTSE100 and in favour of short to medium term rises
Support at 6.960
Resistance at 7.300
FTSEMIB (FTSEMIB)
The FTSEMIB had a week up by + 1.33%
For the week ahead we could see a possible bullish continuation to 22.000
Indicators
The long support area at 21,000 - 21,500 continues to hold the Italian index: this area was in fact respected both at the end of 2021 and in March 2022.
MACD and RSI are showing rising lows in the face of a substantially flat price action: the positive divergence between price and indicators makes us lean towards a possible break of the bearish trendline.
The primary trend still remains strongly to the downside, only a consolidation above the 9-day average (red line) at 21.200 could open the door to significant rises.
We remain positive on the FTSEMIB and believe we may soon see short to medium term upsides
Support at 20.700
Resistance at 23.650
DAX (#DAX)
The DAX ended the week up by + 3.02%
For the week ahead we could see a bullish recovery to at least 13.500
Indicators
The break of the bearish channel is, in our opinion, very positive from a short-medium term perspective. Given the strong stretches, the index might retrace slightly till the area of 13,000 to then resume the bullish push.
MACD and RSI seem to support the advance of the German index with the former near the 0 line (bullish momentum) and the RSI above 50 (bullish)
We remain positive on the DAX40 and in favour of further short to medium term gains
Support at 12.600
Resistance at 14.050
S&P500 (SPX)
The S&P 500 had a week up by + 2.55%
For the coming week we are in favour of a consolidation above 4,000
Indicators
Last week we saw the SPX break the symmetrical triangle to the upside and consolidate above the 50MA (yellow line): for the short-medium term we believe it is a very positive sign as it may lead to a trend change and beginning of a short bullish phase.
MACD and RSI are supporting the push with the former close to a breakout of the 0 line (positive momentum) and the RSI now greater than 50 (bullish).
At the same time, given the strong stretches of recent days, we are not excluding a backtest on the area of 3,900 to then continuing the upside move.
We remain positive on the S&P500 in the short to medium term
Support at 3.740
Resistance at 4.000
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
The NASDAQ ended the week up by + 3.45%
For the week ahead, we believe the index could push to at least 12,800
Indicators
The week just ended saw the break of the ascending triangle and consolidation above the 50MA (yellow line): in the short-medium term, we believe that it is emerging a very positive scenario that could give rise to further upside.
MACD and RSI are supporting the recovery in vigour: the former is crossing to the upside and is now above 0 (positive momentum). The second, RSI, has largely broken out of the 50 (bullish) line and is now retracing slightly.
Given the significant stretches, we do not exclude a possible back-test on the area of 12.100 - 12.200 to then continue to rise.
It is important to point out the central role played by the 50MA (yellow line) which has represented the main dynamic resistance of the NDX since the beginning of 2022: despite its recent overcoming, we believe it is appropriate to wait for price confirmations in order to avoid scenarios of "False break" as at the end of March 2022. A possible confirmation could come from an exceeding of 12,800
We remain positive on the NASDAQ100 from a short to medium term perspective
Support at 10.700
Resistance at 12.400
DOW JONES (#DJI)
The DOW JONES had a week up by + 1.95%
For the coming week we are in favour of a possible continuation to at least 32.800
Indicators
The week just ended, after more than two months, saw the DJI close above the 50 MA (yellow line) which we believe to be a very positive signal for the short to medium term.
Given the considerable stretches, we do not exclude a possible retracement on the area of 31,200 and then, in our opinion, proceed upwards.
MACD and RSI seem to support the resumption of strength of the index with the former close to a break of the 0 line (positive momentum) and the RSI well above the 50 line (bullish).
We remain positive on DOW JONES in the short to medium term
Support at 29.200
Resistance 32.000
OTB Global Investments
24 July 2022
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